How Many Times Can Lame Duck Merkel Regenerate Her Government?

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This week a new series featuring the first female Doctor Who launched

This week the new series of Doctor Who launched amid much ballyhoo about the mysterious Doctor being played for the first time by a woman. While many pedantic Whovians (or whatever they call themselves,) are appalled and complain that the lead role belongs to a man, in my not so humble opinion Jodie Whittaker (best know to date for Broadchurch,) the thirteenth Doctor Who, looks as if she may be the best Doctor since David Tennant. She brought to the role a sense of fun which has been missing since Tennant. Both Matt Smith and Peter Capaldi, the two most recently transformed Doctors in what has become a long line of regenerated Doctors are excellent actors, but somehow lacked the charisma to carry off a role that needs to be played with an attitude of, “I know this story is bollocks, but it’s not meant to be taken seriously so let’s have fun.” What has this to do with angela Merkel and Germany? you might well ask. Indulge me, all will become clear.

In the past few years the show had come over all politically correct and disappeared up its own arse. Another field of human endeavour that was in the past a lot of fun but has now fallen into the trap of taking itself too seriously is politics. Take Germany for example. Germans have always been a bit prone to taking silly things seriously. That Master race nonsense a few decades ago is a case in point. Germany was the most prosperous and stable democracy in Europe under Hausfrau — Volksfuhrer Merkel until she won her third term as Chanellor. That victory had the same effect as being declared divine once had on Roman Emperors. Merkel began to believe her own publicity, and thought she could change the world by supporting schemes to unite Europe under a single government and flood the continent with third world migrants (aka cheap labour for Germany’s factories). And she believed she could succeed because Germans, the ignorant masses, would march in lockstep behind her.

And that’s when it all started to go wrong. Uncontrolled immigration caused social and economic problems, while Merkel’s popularity slumped so much that in the wake of the inconclusive election of September 2017 her conservative CDU party was forced into a coalition with their traditional rivals the socialist SPD to keep nationalist and Eurosceptic parties out of power. Yet Merkel, who had looked dead in the water, is still afloat, her political career having undergone more regenerations that Doctor Who.

Earlier this year, Merkel managed to avoid a potentially disastrous second election by finally, six months after the election, getting the Social Democrats (SPD) to sign up to a mutual suicide pact in the form of new Grand Coalition. This ensured cartel-style government of the political and business elites reigns in Germany to do the bidding the European Union and march towards political and financial integration which fewer and fewer Germans support.

The results of Merkel’ desperatly clinging to power have been catastrophic for the former dominant parties of Germany. The Social Democrats (SDP) is spiralling towards minor party status, with recent polling now putting them behind five-year old Alternative for Germany (AfD) nationally, 16% vs. 18.5% in a recent poll by Die Welt. Worse news for the SDP is that the classical liberal Free Democrats are gaining ground on them too.

But, it’s not just the SPD that continues to hemorrhage support. Merkel’s own Christian Democratic Union (CDU) is now below 25% nationally, since its coalition with the Christian Social Union (CSU) now has the support from less than 30% of Germans nationally.

The sister party of Merkel’s CDU, the CSU, which is a regional party operating only in Bravaria, is usually good for around 8–9% of that total, but their support in Bavaria is down below 40%, dropping to 35% as of last month’s poll numbers. So, only a week before Bavarian state elections, all the traditional parties are seeing their bases eroding.

The CDU are aware Merkel is a lame duck, having nailed her colours to the mast or a raft of deeply unpopular globalist policies, the only thing keeping her in power at this point is that there is little confidence among German voters that a new election would solve the problem, while the one thing Merkel has succeeded in throughout her decline is stabbing potential rivals in the back.

The AfD, not a far right party as mainstream media always claim, but centre — right party that rejects globalism and concepts such as multiculturalism and a borderless world, are not ready for government while the pro — business Free Democrats are natural coalition partners but not coalition leaders. One of the problems for the AfD is that since the ninteen thirties, nationalism has ben increasingly conflated with National Socialism. People who compare AfD, Britain’s UKIP, the Sweden Democrats, the Freedom Party in The Netherlands and France’s Front National and Italy’s ruling coalition to Hitler’s Nazis or Mussolini’s Fascists are poorly informed. Nationalism is not authoritarianism. Mohandas K Gandhi was a nationalist, as were Guiseppe Garibaldi, Mustafa Kemal, Charles de Gaulle and Irish republican leader Eammon de Valera. The politics of these leaders ranges from conservative to democratic socialist.

I have closely watched developments in German politics for some years, just as I have watched developments in other EU nations, having anticipated the break up of the community since I worked in the EU Commission in Luxembourg in the 1980s and learned that the long term plan was political integration and the creation of a European Superstate. It was never going to work of course, the only surprise has been that the reassertion of national independence took so long. But what has become clear recently is that the poll numbers for opposition parties like AfD are under-stated because of real fear of political retribution, and allegedly because of electoral jiggery — pokery. For example, in the recent Swedish election, anti — immigration, Eurosceptic party The Sweden Democrats (SDs) slightly under performed against expectations. In the run up to the election Swedish mainstream media and government figures mounted a massive smear campaign against the SDs, branding them Nazis and racists.

After the election, even though the SDs had come from nowhere to be the third largest party and justifiably claim a place in the governing coalition. This was resisted by the undemocratic parties of the left, and now Sweden faces months of political haggling without a legitimate government just as Germany did because Angela Merkel refused to accept the inevitable.

While all this is going on, democracy is under attack on other fronts. Germany’s anti-hate speech laws are being used to arrest people for being politically incorrect, while the far left directors of US internet giants such as Google and Facebook are meddling in political matters having appointed themselves censors of news and opinions that does not suit their cultural Marxist agenda. From last year’s GDPR, an attack on free speech disguised as a measure to protect users’ privacy, to the latest rules on sharing memes, the clamp down on speech critical of the political status quo in Europe is happening quickly not just in Germany but across the EU. Even in Britain, where we are on the way out of the EU, these rules are being applied to suppress voices critical of Islam, government immigration policies and telling the truth about immigrant crimes.

How is this affecting the polls? We have seen the reults for ourselves, in the brexir refrendum, in Sweden, Germany, Italy, Poland, Austria and to a lesser extent in other EU member states that have held elections recently. Watch an interview like this one . with a German voter and we have to wonder if there are masses of ‘closet AfD voters’ there are in Germany like there were ‘closet Trump voters’ in the U.S. in 2016 or Brexit voters in the UK referendum?

Being branded racist or xenophobic or an ignorant, uneducated working class oik might not directly put people off holding their opinions, but the sheer nastiness, and sometimes the violence with which supporters of the left respond on finding somebody does not agree with their ideology driven authoritarian agenda can have a very real deterrent affect.

No major national elections are due for a while, but if significant numbers in Bravaria turn out to vote AfD and cause an upset in Bavaria’s state elections on the October 14th that could be the catalyst to nudge AfD forward nationally to seriously challenge Merkel’s own CDU in the polls.

This plays in to the unfolding political crisis in the democratic world that after Trump and Brexit, Merkel’s decline in Germany and victory for the anti — EU coalition in Italy isn’t on the horizon anymore. It is here, throughout the liberal democracies the old elites are on the back foot, the banking cartel and the domiation of the petrodollar are being challenged, political parties that differ only in name, while toeing the globalist line on policy are in decline, and after the failure of the US /NATO allies to dislodge Assad in Syria, the military — industrial complex can no longer use scaremongering to swing public opinion behind regional wars and regime change campaigns.

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